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Exit Poll 2019: Maharashtra's 47-year-old record at stake

Exit Poll 2019: The BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is all set to break Maharashtra's 47-year-old record by returning to power in consecutive terms.

Oct 23, 2019 12:22 IST
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Exit poll 2019: The BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is all set to break Maharashtra's 47-year-old record by returning to power in consecutive terms, as per the exit polls. This will be the first time that a non-Congress government has retained power in the state. 

The exit polls predict the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance to win around 213 seats in Maharashtra, while the Cong-NCP alliance is projected to win just 61 seats. If the projections hold true, this would be the third-ever non-Congress government in Maharashtra. 

The incumbent CM Devendra Fadnavis has already created the record of becoming the first Maharashtra chief minister to complete a full five-year term in nearly 50 years. If the poll predictions hold true and Devendra Fadnavis retains his post, he would become the first-ever CM to continue a second term as the Chief Minister of Maharashtra. 

Also read: Maharashtra assembly elections 2019: All you need to know

Maharashtra was earlier a bastion of the Indian National Congress. The bastion looks to be slowly slipping out of the party's hands, as the exit polls back the Devendra Fadnavis-led BJP and Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena to be the clear winners in the state, while the Congress-NCP alliance will be left biting dust.

The Maharashtra assembly exit polls 2019, in fact, predict the BJP to win majority on its own in the state. The polls also predict a huge win for Aaditya Thackeray, the first from Shiv Sena's first family to contest an election since the party's founding. The other parties including the MNS, AIMIM and VBA are predicted to win just 14 seats. 

Maharashtra assembly elections

The polling process for Maharashtra’s 288 state assembly constituencies concluded at 6 pm on October 21, 2019. The exit polls were released after 6.30 pm, as per the mandate of the Election Commission.

The Election Commission had prohibited the release of exit polls during the elections, effective from 7 am to 6.30 pm on October 21. The exit polls were conducted by independent pollsters such as Axis My India, C-voter and Jan Ki Baat. 

According to official data, a 60.5% voter turnout was reported till 6 pm. The constituency that saw the highest voter turnout was Karvir constituency with 82.15 percent voter turnout and the lowest voter turnout was reported in Colaba with 37.43 percent turnout.

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:40 PM: Times Now exit poll seat-wise predictions:

Probable winners

Worli: Aaditya Thackeray (Shiv Sena)

Wadala: Kalidas Kolambkar (BJP)

Sillod: Abdul Sattar (Shiv Sena)

Shirdi: Radhakrishna Vikhe Patil (BJP)

Nagpur South: Devendra Fadnavis (BJP)

Karad South: Prithviraj Chavan (INC)

Latur City:  Amit Deshmukh (INC)

Nagpur North: Milind Mane (BJP)

Akole Assembly: Vaibhav Pichad (BJP)

Anushakti Nagar: Nawab Malik (NCP)

Aurangabad Central: Jaiswal Pradeep Shivnarayan  (Shiv Sena)

Beed: Jaidatta Kshirsagar (Shiv Sena)

Byculla: Yamini Yashwant Jadhav (Shiv Sena)

Daund: Kanchan Rahul Kul (BJP)

Igatpuri: Nirmala Gavit (Shiv Sena)

Kankavli: Nitesh Rane (BJP)

Yevla: Chhagan Bhujbal (NCP)

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:30 PM: With pollsters predicting BJP to win a majority in Maharashtra on its own, it could be the first time that a non-Congress party has won a majority in the state. 

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:25 PM: If the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance decides to let Devendra Fadnavis retain his post as Maharashtra CM, he will become the first CM in the history of Maharashtra's politics to continue the second term as the Chief Minister of the state.

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:20 PM: Maharashtra assembly election results 2014

BJP+Shiv Sena: 186

Congress +NCP: 83

Others: 19

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:16 PM:  As per projections by the pollsters, the NCP is predicted to outperform Congress in Maharashtra.

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:10 PM: Times Now Exit Poll reveals region-wise projection for Maharashtra assembly elections 2019. 

Times Now Exit Poll: Region-wise projection 2019

Region-wise

BJP+Shiv Sena

Cong+NCP

Others

Marathwada

36

10

Mumbai

33

3

North Maharashtra

26

6

3

Thane Konkan

29

5

5

Vidharbha

55

6

1

Western Maharashtra

51

18

1

Total

230

48

10

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:08 PM: Projected vote share-

Axis My India projected vote share (%)

BJP

27%

Shiv Sena

18%

Congress

19%

NCP

16%

VBA

6%

OTH

14%

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 7:02 PM: News18-IPSOS predicts BJP to win majority on its own in Maharashtra. The pollster predicts BJP to get 141 seats and Shiv Sena to win 102 seats. 

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 6:57 PM: Pollsters predict big win for Shiv Sena's Aaditya Thackeray in Worli.

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 6:50 PM: Predictions by major pollsters:

Pollster

BJP+

Congress +

Others

Republic Jan Ki Baat

223

54

11

Times Now Exit Poll

230

48

10

India Today Axis My India Exit Poll

166-194

72-90

22-34

CNN News18-IPSIS

243

41

4

ABP C-voter

204

69

15

Poll of Polls

218

57

13

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 6:45 PM: C-voter projected seat share

BJP+= 204
Congress+= 69
Others= 15

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 6:40 PM: Jan Ki Baat projected seat share

BJP+: 223

Congress+: 54

OTHERS: 11

Maharashtra exit poll 2019- Jan Ki Baat projected seat share

BJP

135-142

Shiv Sena

81-88

Cong

24-20

NCP

35-30

OTH

12-8

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 6:30 PM: Axis My India projected seat share

Maharashtra exit poll 2019- Axis My India projected seat share

BJP

109-124

Shiv Sena

57-70

Cong

32-40

NCP

40-50

VBA

0-2

OTH

22-32

Maharashtra exit poll 2019 live update @ 6:30 PM: Axis My India predicts victory for BJP-Shiv Sena alliance. The victory, however, is predicted to be by a smaller margin in comparison to the previous elections. 

Also read: Haryana Exit Poll 2019 Result: Polls predict BJP win in Haryana; CM Manohar Lal Khattar set for comeback

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