ODI World Cup Semi-Finals 2023 Scenarios: Where Does Each Team Stand?

Currently, South Africa, New Zealand, and Australia stand alongside host nation India in the critical top-four positions on the points table. However, with 14 group-stage matches yet to be contested, nearly every team maintains a realistic shot at advancement.

Nov 8, 2023, 10:08 IST
ODI World Cup Semi-Finals 2023 Scenarios: How Different Teams will Qualify as Net Run Rate
ODI World Cup Semi-Finals 2023 Scenarios: How Different Teams will Qualify as Net Run Rate

The ICC World Cup Semi-Final 2023 looms on the horizon, with just under a fortnight to go, and the conclusion of the tournament's knockout phase is nigh. The quest for a berth in the Cricket World Cup 2023 semi-finals final spot remains fiercely competitive, as New Zealand, Pakistan and the Netherlands will be competing for the spot.

Currently, South Africa, New Zealand, and Australia stand alongside host nation India in the critical top-four positions on the points table. However, India's win over Sri Lanka, made them the first team to qualify for the ICC  World Cup Semi-Final 2023.

ALSO READ| ODI World Cup 2023 Semi Final: Expected Teams, Venue, Date, Ticket and Other Details

ODI World Cup Semi-Final 2023 Scenarios and Qualification

Here is the ICC World Cup semi-final 2023 qualification scenario of each team that the fans are rooting for:

1. India World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

8

Losses

0

Net Run Rate

+2.456

Team India qualified for World Cup Semi-Final 2023 after a thumping win over Sri Lanka. Mohammad Shami and Mohammad Siraj were in their prime taking 8 wickets. Shami took five while Siraj took 3 bowling out Sri Lanka for a mere 55 runs after India set a target of 357 courtesy of Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer's 92, 88 and 82 respectively. 

Yet To Play Against: Netherlands (12 November)

2. South Africa World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

6

Losses

2

Net Run Rate

+1.376

The qualification scenario for New Zealand is as follows:

South Africa qualified for the  World Cup Semi-Final 2023 after Pakistan defeated New Zealand by 21 runs (D/L) courtesy of Fakhar Zaman's 63 ball 100.

Yet To Play Against: Afghanistan(9 November)

3. Australia World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

6

Losses

2

Net Run Rate

+0.861

Australia joined, India and South Africa in the Semi-Finals after Glenn Maxwell's heroics against Afghanistan saw them win the match by three wickets. 

Yet To Play Against: Bangladesh (11 November)

4. New Zealand World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

4

Losses

4

Net Run Rate

+0.398

The qualification scenario for New Zealand is as follows:

New Zealand faces two alternative paths to secure their qualification in the tournament. The first option involves winning their remaining match, which would see them accumulate 10 points. However, to guarantee qualification in this scenario, they must finish with a net run rate superior to at least one of the other teams that could also reach the 10-point mark.

On the other hand, the second route to qualification entails finishing with eight points in total. In this case, New Zealand can secure a place in the next stage if they maintain a net run rate superior to all other teams that also end with eight points. This places significant emphasis on net run rate as a pivotal factor in determining their advancement in the competition.

Yet To Play Against: Sri Lanka (9 November)

5. Pakistan World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

4

Losses

4

Net Run Rate

+0.036

The qualification scenario for Pakistanis is as follows:

Pakistan's journey to securing a spot in the tournament's next stage unfolds in two distinct scenarios. Firstly, if Pakistan clinches victory in their remaining match, resulting in a cumulative 10 points, they can position themselves for qualification. However, a critical caveat exists: they must finish with a net run rate superior to other teams, namely, New Zealand, and Afghanistan, each of which could also amass 10 points in the competition. This underscores the pivotal role that net run rate plays in determining their advancement.

Conversely, should Pakistan falter and lose their final contest against England, their path to qualification becomes more complex. In this scenario, they would need a substantial boost from their net run rate (NRR) to have any hope of finishing with eight points and securing a coveted place in the top four. This circumstance underscores the pivotal role of NRR in shaping their qualification prospects, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive effort to navigate the complexities of tournament qualification.

Yet to play Against: England (11 November)

6. Afghanistan World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

4

Losses

4

Net Run Rate

-0.338

The qualification scenario for Afghanistan is as follows:

To secure an assured qualification, Afghanistan must win their remaining match, amassing a total of 10 points and finish with a higher Net run rate than Pakistan and New Zealand.

Even if they lose their remaining match, they must maintain a superior net run rate compared to two of the other teams, New Zealand and Pakistan, each of which could also conclude the tournament with 10 points. In this scenario, the net run rate becomes a decisive factor in shaping their qualification prospects.

Yet To Play Against: South Africa (10 November)

7. Sri Lanka World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

2

Losses

6

Net Run Rate

-1.160

The Sri Lanka scenario for Afghanistan is as follows:

Sri- Lanka was knocked out of the tournament after their loss against Bangladesh.

Yet To Play Against: New Zealand (9 November)

8. Netherlands World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

2

Losses

5

Net Run Rate

-1.398

The qualification scenario for the Netherlands is as follows:

The Netherlands' path to the semi-finals necessitates winning two of their remaining matches and hope for New Zealand, Pakistan, and Afghanistan to lose their respective remaining matches, resulting in these teams finishing with less than eight points. Additionally, Sri Lanka must maintain a net run rate superior to the other teams also finishing with eight points. 

Yet To Play Against: England (8 November), India (12 November)

9. Bangladesh World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

2

Losses

6

Net Run Rate

-1.142

Regrettably for Bangladeshi fans, Bangladesh became the first team to be eliminated from the 2023 World Cup after enduring their sixth defeat against Pakistan. This loss extinguished their hopes of securing a place in the semi-finals.

Yet To Play Against: Australia (11 November)

10. England World Cup Semi-Final Scenario

Wins

1

Losses

6

Net Run Rate

-1.504

The same goes for England who were defeated by Australia in the 36th match of ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 by 33 runs. This means they cannot qualify for the ICC World Cup Semi-Final 2023 in any scenario.

Yet To Play Against: Netherlands (8 November), Pakistan (11 November)

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Hello, my name is Mohammad Jazib Ul Quanain. I was born and raised in the beautiful valley of Kashmir. During the initial years of my life, I chose engineering as my career. It didn't work out as I wanted it, so I pursued Journalism and haven't regretted it since. I completed my master's from Chandigarh University in Journalism and Mass Communication. Also, I have almost 2 years of experience in content writing and Journalism. If I'm not writing articles, you may find me riding my motorcycle to a remote location or relaxing on the couch watching anime.
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